Sixteen weeks into the season, the Houston Texans (9-6) have a 1.1 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 10th in the NFL.
The Baltimore Ravens (10-5), who face off against the Texans in Week 17, are ranked 3rd with a 6.9 FPI rating.
FPI is “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN.com. “FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”
So with that background in mind, here’s a look at how the league’s 32 teams stack up based on FPI going into Week 17 of the 2024 NFL season.
- Detroit Lions (13-2): 8.6
- Green Bay Packers (11-4): 7.2
- Baltimore Ravens (10-5): 6.9
- Buffalo Bills (12-3): 6.6
- Philadelphia Eagles (12-3): 4.7
- Kansas City Chiefs (14-1): 4.0
- Minnesota Vikings (13-2): 3.5
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-7): 2.4
- San Francisco 49ers (6-9): 2.3
- Houston Texans (9-6): 1.1
- Washington Commanders (10-5): 1.0
- Los Angeles Rams (9-6): 1.0
- Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5): 0.9
- Miami Dolphins (7-8): 0.7
- Cincinnati Bengals (7-8): 0.3
- Los Angeles Chargers (9-6): 0.2
- Arizona Cardinals (7-8): 0.1
- New York Jets (4-11): -0.6
- Seattle Seahawks (8-7): -0.9
- Denver Broncos (9-6): -1.1
- Atlanta Falcons (8-7): -1.6
- Chicago Bears (4-11): -1.9
- Cleveland Browns (3-12): -2.0
- Tennessee Titans (3-12): -2.1
- Indianapolis Colts (7-8): -2.7
- Las Vegas Raiders (3-12): -3.5
- New England Patriots (3-12): -4.2
- Dallas Cowboys (7-8): -4.7
- Jacksonville Jaguars (3-12): -6.5
- New Orleans Saints (5-10): -7.5
- New York Giants (2-13): -8.7
- Carolina Panthers (4-11): -9.2
The Texans will aim to improve their rating when they face the Ravens on Wednesday as part of a Netflix Christmas double-header. Houston’s current ranking is up two spots from Week 16.