With the 2025/26 NBA regular season just around the corner, we’re getting serious about predictions for the upcoming campaign and continuing an annual Hoops Rumors tradition.
With the help of the lines from a series of sports betting sites – including BetMGM and BetOnline – we’re running through the predicted win totals for each of the NBA’s 30 teams, by division. In a series of team-by-team polls, you’ll get the chance to weigh in on whether you think those forecasts are too optimistic or too pessimistic.
In 2024/25, our voters went 13-17 on their over/under picks. Can we top that in ’25/26?
We’ll wrap up our series today with the Southwest Division…
Houston Rockets
- 2024/25 record: 52-30
 - Over/under for 2025/26: 52.5 wins
 - Major offseason moves:
 
Take Our Poll
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San Antonio Spurs
- 2024/25 record: 34-48
 - Over/under for 2025/26: 44.5 wins
 - Major offseason moves:
 
Take Our Poll
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Dallas Mavericks
- 2024/25 record: 39-43
 - Over/under for 2025/26: 41.5 wins
 - Major offseason moves:
- Added: Cooper Flagg, D’Angelo Russell
 - Lost: Spencer Dinwiddie, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Kai Jones
 
 
Take Our Poll
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Memphis Grizzlies
- 2024/25 record: 48-34
 - Over/under for 2025/26: 39.5 wins
 - Major offseason moves:
 
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New Orleans Pelicans
- 2024/25 record: 21-61
 - Over/under for 2025/26: 30.5 wins
 - Major offseason moves:
 
Take Our Poll
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Previous voting results:
- New York Knicks (53.5 wins): Over (63.2%)
 - Boston Celtics (42.5 wins): Over (52.7%)
 - Philadelphia 76ers (42.5 wins): Under (58.7%)
 - Toronto Raptors (37.5 wins): Over (50.2%)
 - Brooklyn Nets (20.5 wins): Over (54.4%)
 
- Cleveland Cavaliers (56.5 wins): Over (58.0%)
 - Detroit Pistons (46.5 wins): Over (60.5%)
 - Milwaukee Bucks (42.5 wins): Over (74.4%)
 - Indiana Pacers (37.5 wins): Over (50.1%)
 - Chicago Bulls (32.5 wins): Over (60.8%)
 
- Orlando Magic (51.5 wins): Over (52.8%)
 - Atlanta Hawks (47.5 wins): Over (54.9%)
 - Miami Heat (37.5 wins): Over (54.4%)
 - Charlotte Hornets (27.5 wins): Over (50.6%)
 - Washington Wizards (21.5 wins): Under (62.4%)
 
- Oklahoma City Thunder (62.5 wins): Over (62.9%)
 - Denver Nuggets (53.5 wins): Over (72.1%)
 - Minnesota Timberwolves (49.5 wins): Over (58.7%)
 - Portland Trail Blazers (34.5 wins): Over (57.1%)
 - Utah Jazz (18.5 wins): Over (55.3%)
 
- Los Angeles Clippers (48.5 wins): Under (58.7%)
 - Los Angeles Lakers (48.5 wins): Under (52.1%)
 - Golden State Warriors (46.5 wins): Over (68.3%)
 - Sacramento Kings (34.5 wins): Over (55.1%)
 - Phoenix Suns (31.5 wins): Under (56.8%)